Weather markets

Weather odds and prediction markets

Temperature, rain, snow, and hurricane markets tied to NOAA and National Weather Service data.

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36 active weather markets

Market ↕ YES ↕ Volume ↕ Open Interest ↕ Δ 30d ↕
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? 1¢ $18,606,641 $155,930 -0.9pp
Will there be at least 10000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? 8¢ $6,530,482 $3,322 -0.3pp
Will 2026 be the fifth-hottest year on record? 1¢ $868,771 $65,388 ·
10.0 or above earthquake before 2027? 1¢ $826,238 $33,857 ·
Ebola pandemic in 2026? 2¢ $783,519 $23,209 -0.8pp
Will 2026 be the hottest year on record? 56¢ $700,492 $5,222 -7.0pp
Will the maximum temperature be 70-71° on Oct 11, 2026: 70° to 71° 1¢ $159,784 $144,934 -20.0pp
Will the maximum temperature be 74-75° on Oct 11, 2026: 74° to 75° 99¢ $91,646 $49,068 +79.0pp
Will the maximum temperature be 72-73° on Oct 11, 2026: 72° to 73° 1¢ $85,512 $48,658 -48.0pp
Will the maximum temperature be <70° on Oct 11, 2026: 69° or below 1¢ $64,972 $56,586 -7.0pp
Will the maximum temperature be <62° on Oct 11, 2026: 61° or below 99¢ $50,894 $31,833 +30.0pp
Will the maximum temperature be 62-63° on Oct 11, 2026: 62° to 63° 1¢ $40,315 $24,622 -22.0pp
Will the maximum temperature be 64-65° on Oct 11, 2026: 64° to 65° 1¢ $29,273 $19,018 -10.0pp
Will the maximum temperature be 76-77° on Oct 11, 2026: 76° to 77° 1¢ $17,638 $11,938 -3.0pp
Will the maximum temperature be >77° on Oct 11, 2026: 78° or above 1¢ $11,266 $10,417 -1.0pp
Will the maximum temperature be 66-67° on Oct 11, 2026: 66° to 67° 1¢ $11,164 $7,882 ·
Will the maximum temperature be >69° on Oct 11, 2026: 70° or above 1¢ $5,677 $5,062 ·
Will the maximum temperature be 68-69° on Oct 11, 2026: 68° to 69° 1¢ $3,804 $3,210 ·
Will the maximum temperature be 66-67° on Oct 12, 2026: 66° to 67° 21¢ $2,597 $2,125 ·
Will the maximum temperature be 68-69° on Oct 12, 2026: 68° to 69° 43¢ $2,331 $1,800 +1.0pp
Will the maximum temperature be 64-65° on Oct 12, 2026: 64° to 65° 2¢ $2,329 $2,237 -4.0pp
Will the maximum temperature be >71° on Oct 12, 2026: 72° or above 5¢ $2,197 $1,416 +3.0pp
Will the maximum temperature be 70-71° on Oct 12, 2026: 70° to 71° 31¢ $2,122 $1,746 -1.0pp
Will the maximum temperature be 69-70° on Oct 12, 2026: 69° to 70° 30¢ $1,326 $1,032 +1.0pp
Will the maximum temperature be 71-72° on Oct 12, 2026: 71° to 72° 45¢ $1,054 $784 +3.0pp
Will the maximum temperature be >76° on Oct 12, 2026: 77° or above 1¢ $995 $977 ·
Will the maximum temperature be 86-87° on Oct 12, 2026: 86° to 87° 52¢ $934 $850 +2.0pp
Will the maximum temperature be <69° on Oct 12, 2026: 68° or below 10¢ $926 $921 -2.0pp
Will the maximum temperature be 88-89° on Oct 12, 2026: 88° to 89° 30¢ $811 $728 +1.0pp
Will the maximum temperature be <84° on Oct 12, 2026: 83° or below 2¢ $729 $683 -1.0pp
Will the maximum temperature be <64° on Oct 12, 2026: 63° or below 1¢ $713 $708 -1.0pp
Will the maximum temperature be 73-74° on Oct 12, 2026: 73° to 74° 15¢ $686 $586 -1.0pp
Will the maximum temperature be 90-91° on Oct 12, 2026: 90° to 91° 4¢ $582 $559 ·
Will the maximum temperature be >91° on Oct 12, 2026: 92° or above 2¢ $517 $517 ·
Will the maximum temperature be 84-85° on Oct 12, 2026: 84° to 85° 12¢ $455 $365 -7.0pp
Will the maximum temperature be 75-76° on Oct 12, 2026: 75° to 76° 4¢ $366 $366 ·
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