Biggest movers · 50 markets

Markets making the biggest moves

Where the price has moved the most since we started tracking. Big moves mean new information hit the market , or that sentiment shifted without much new data.

Market	Platform	YES	Volume	Δ since start
Will the maximum temperature be 74-75° on Oct 11, 2026: 74° to 75°	Kalshi	99¢	$91,646	+79.0pp
Ethereum price at Oct 12, 2026 at 5pm EDT: $2,970 to 3,009.99	Kalshi	2¢	$0	-68.0pp
Ethereum price at Oct 12, 2026 at 5pm EDT: $2,930 to 2,969.99	Kalshi	2¢	$0	-68.0pp
Ethereum price at Oct 12, 2026 at 5pm EDT: $2,890 to 2,929.99	Kalshi	2¢	$0	-68.0pp
Ethereum price at Oct 12, 2026 at 5pm EDT: $2,850 to 2,889.99	Kalshi	2¢	$0	-68.0pp
Ethereum price at Oct 12, 2026 at 5pm EDT: $2,810 to 2,849.99	Kalshi	3¢	$0	-67.0pp
Ethereum price at Oct 12, 2026 at 5pm EDT: $2,770 to 2,809.99	Kalshi	3¢	$0	-67.0pp
Will the upper bound of the federal funds rate be above 6.00% following the Fed'	Kalshi	1¢	$3	-48.5pp
Will the maximum temperature be 72-73° on Oct 11, 2026: 72° to 73°	Kalshi	1¢	$85,512	-48.0pp
Bitcoin price range on Oct 12, 2026: $89,500 to 89,749.99	Kalshi	1¢	$0	-44.0pp
Will the upper bound of the federal funds rate be above 4.75% following the Fed'	Kalshi	35¢	$4	-41.0pp
Will the upper bound of the federal funds rate be above 5.25% following the Fed'	Kalshi	10¢	$0	-39.5pp
Will the upper bound of the federal funds rate be above 5.00% following the Fed'	Kalshi	2¢	$122	-39.0pp
Will the upper bound of the federal funds rate be above 5.25% following the Fed'	Kalshi	13¢	$5	-36.5pp
Bitcoin price range on Oct 12, 2026: $91,250 to 91,499.99	Kalshi	1¢	$0	-36.0pp
Will the upper bound of the federal funds rate be above 6.00% following the Fed'	Kalshi	15¢	$0	-34.5pp
Bitcoin price range on Oct 12, 2026: $89,250 to 89,499.99	Kalshi	1¢	$0	-34.0pp
Bitcoin price range on Oct 12, 2026: $91,000 to 91,249.99	Kalshi	1¢	$0	-33.0pp
Will the upper bound of the federal funds rate be above 5.50% following the Fed'	Kalshi	83¢	$1	+33.0pp
Will the upper bound of the federal funds rate be above 4.75% following the Fed'	Kalshi	81¢	$1	+31.0pp
Will the maximum temperature be <62° on Oct 11, 2026: 61° or below	Kalshi	99¢	$50,894	+30.0pp
Bitcoin price range on Oct 12, 2026: $91,500 to 91,749.99	Kalshi	1¢	$0	-30.0pp
Will the upper bound of the federal funds rate be above 5.50% following the Fed'	Kalshi	21¢	$4	-29.0pp
Bitcoin price range on Oct 12, 2026: $89,000 to 89,249.99	Kalshi	1¢	$0	-28.0pp
Will the maximum temperature be 62-63° on Oct 11, 2026: 62° to 63°	Kalshi	1¢	$40,315	-22.0pp
Will the upper bound of the federal funds rate be above 5.00% following the Fed'	Kalshi	25¢	$5,596	+21.0pp
Will the upper bound of the federal funds rate be above 6.00% following the Fed'	Kalshi	30¢	$0	-20.0pp
Will the maximum temperature be 70-71° on Oct 11, 2026: 70° to 71°	Kalshi	1¢	$159,784	-20.0pp
Bitcoin price range on Oct 12, 2026: $87,750 to 87,999.99	Kalshi	1¢	$64	-20.0pp
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Polymarket	65¢	$5,526,122	+19.0pp
Bitcoin price range on Oct 12, 2026: $89,750 to 89,999.99	Kalshi	1¢	$22	-19.0pp
Bitcoin price range on Oct 12, 2026: $92,000 to 92,249.99	Kalshi	1¢	$0	-19.0pp
Bitcoin price range on Oct 12, 2026: $91,750 to 91,999.99	Kalshi	1¢	$0	-19.0pp
Bitcoin price range on Oct 12, 2026: $90,750 to 90,999.99	Kalshi	1¢	$0	-19.0pp
Bitcoin price range on Oct 12, 2026: $90,500 to 90,749.99	Kalshi	1¢	$0	-19.0pp
Bitcoin price range on Oct 12, 2026: $90,250 to 90,499.99	Kalshi	1¢	$0	-19.0pp
Bitcoin price range on Oct 12, 2026: $90,000 to 90,249.99	Kalshi	1¢	$0	-19.0pp
Bitcoin price range on Oct 12, 2026: $88,750 to 88,999.99	Kalshi	1¢	$0	-19.0pp
Bitcoin price range on Oct 12, 2026: $88,500 to 88,749.99	Kalshi	1¢	$0	-19.0pp
Bitcoin price range on Oct 12, 2026: $92,250 or above	Kalshi	2¢	$0	-18.0pp
Bitcoin price range on Oct 12, 2026: $88,250 to 88,499.99	Kalshi	2¢	$0	-18.0pp
Bitcoin price range on Oct 12, 2026: $88,000 to 88,249.99	Kalshi	2¢	$0	-18.0pp
Will the upper bound of the federal funds rate be above 4.50% following the Fed'	Kalshi	55¢	$5,294	-18.0pp
Will the upper bound of the federal funds rate be above 5.75% following the Fed'	Kalshi	32¢	$0	-17.5pp
Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Polymarket	28¢	$3,953,237	-16.8pp
Will the upper bound of the federal funds rate be above 5.75% following the Fed'	Kalshi	33¢	$0	-16.5pp
Will the upper bound of the federal funds rate be above 5.50% following the Fed'	Kalshi	35¢	$0	-14.5pp
Will the upper bound of the federal funds rate be above 5.25% following the Fed'	Kalshi	38¢	$0	-11.5pp
Will the upper bound of the federal funds rate be above 5.75% following the Fed'	Kalshi	10¢	$16	-11.0pp
Will the upper bound of the federal funds rate be above 5.00% following the Fed'	Kalshi	39¢	$0	-10.5pp

Big price moves are the clearest sign the market is processing new information. Sometimes it's a news event, sometimes it's a weather forecast update, sometimes it's just the market catching up to data that was published days ago.

A +10pp move on a market that was 50/50 means someone (or the crowd) now thinks the event is 10 percentage points more likely than before. That's a meaningful shift in implied probability.