Economy markets

Economy odds and prediction markets

Fed rate decisions, CPI prints, jobs reports, GDP releases, and recession indicators.

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80 active economy markets

Market ↕ YES ↕ Volume ↕ Open Interest ↕ Δ 30d ↕
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? 14¢ $14,614,346 $627,869 -4.0pp
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? 95¢ $8,846,832 $663,841 -0.4pp
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? 83¢ $8,516,882 $635,843 +1.0pp
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? 16¢ $7,230,975 $784,436 +0.0pp
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? 1¢ $6,084,463 $268,283 -0.1pp
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting? 1¢ $5,901,129 $1,080,121 ·
Will 11 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? 1¢ $5,278,170 $544,359 ·
Will 10 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? 1¢ $4,957,192 $522,395 ·
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting? 1¢ $4,367,876 $427,381 ·
Will 9 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? 1¢ $4,301,839 $483,688 ·
Will 6 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? 1¢ $4,226,308 $156,705 ·
Will 12 or more Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? 1¢ $3,981,511 $244,647 ·
Will 7 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? 1¢ $3,527,015 $178,315 ·
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026? 1¢ $3,492,963 $146,842 +0.0pp
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? 1¢ $3,400,586 $164,704 ·
Will 8 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? 1¢ $3,296,975 $307,891 ·
Will GameStop acquire eBay? 6¢ $3,110,658 $37,467 +0.0pp
Will 5 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? 1¢ $3,003,932 $214,995 ·
Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? 1¢ $2,971,757 $299,739 ·
Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? 1¢ $2,752,160 $274,647 ·
Will above 30000 jobs be added in October 2026: 30,000 59¢ $27,314 $21,062 -2.0pp
Will above 70000 jobs be added in October 2026: 70,000 44¢ $21,882 $21,283 +9.0pp
Will above 50000 jobs be added in October 2026: 50,000 49¢ $18,465 $17,060 -6.0pp
Will above 80000 jobs be added in October 2026: 80,000 41¢ $14,938 $13,078 -4.0pp
Will above 40000 jobs be added in October 2026: 40,000 55¢ $11,430 $10,560 -7.0pp
Will the upper bound of the federal funds rate be above 5.00% following the Fed's Mar 17, 2027 meeting? 25¢ $5,596 $5,440 +21.0pp
Will the upper bound of the federal funds rate be above 4.50% following the Fed's Apr 28, 2027 meeting? 55¢ $5,294 $2,474 -18.0pp
Will above 60000 jobs be added in October 2026: 60,000 56¢ $1,695 $1,037 -2.0pp
Will above 125000 jobs be added in November 2026: 125,000 23¢ $1,604 $178 -2.0pp
Will above 90000 jobs be added in October 2026: 90,000 36¢ $1,591 $1,217 +0.0pp
Will above -25000 jobs be added in November 2026: -25,000 89¢ $889 $294 +2.0pp
Will above 90000 jobs be added in November 2026: 90,000 40¢ $707 $215 -3.0pp
Will above 30000 jobs be added in November 2026: Above 30,000 76¢ $648 $153 +9.0pp
Will above 0 jobs be added in November 2026? 79¢ $510 $251 -3.0pp
Will above 50000 jobs be added in November 2026: 50,000 54¢ $490 $99 ·
Will above 80000 jobs be added in November 2026: 80,000 56¢ $443 $117 ·
Will above 60000 jobs be added in November 2026: 60,000 52¢ $365 $139 ·
Will above 10000 jobs be added in November 2026: 10,000 81¢ $333 $89 ·
Will above 70000 jobs be added in November 2026: 70,000 55¢ $294 $49 ·
Will above 20000 jobs be added in November 2026: 20,000 72¢ $263 $91 ·
Will above 40000 jobs be added in November 2026: 40,000 70¢ $256 $7 ·
Will the upper bound of the federal funds rate be above 5.00% following the Fed's Apr 28, 2027 meeting? 2¢ $122 $61 -39.0pp
Will above 100000 jobs be added in November 2026: 100,000 38¢ $84 $12 ·
Will the upper bound of the federal funds rate be above 5.75% following the Fed's Mar 17, 2027 meeting? 10¢ $16 $7 -11.0pp
Will the upper bound of the federal funds rate be above 5.25% following the Fed's Jan 27, 2027 meeting? 13¢ $5 $5 -36.5pp
Will the S&P 500 be above 8099.9999 on Oct 16, 2026 at 4pm EDT: 8,100.0099 or above 23¢ $4 $4 ·
Will the upper bound of the federal funds rate be above 5.50% following the Fed's Mar 17, 2027 meeting? 21¢ $4 $4 -29.0pp
Will the upper bound of the federal funds rate be above 4.75% following the Fed's Jan 27, 2027 meeting? 35¢ $4 $4 -41.0pp
Will the upper bound of the federal funds rate be above 6.00% following the Fed's Jan 27, 2027 meeting? 1¢ $3 $2 -48.5pp
Will the upper bound of the federal funds rate be above 5.50% following the Fed's Apr 28, 2027 meeting? 83¢ $1 $1 +33.0pp
Will the upper bound of the federal funds rate be above 4.75% following the Fed's Mar 17, 2027 meeting? 81¢ $1 $1 +31.0pp
Will the S&P 500 be below 7400 on Oct 16, 2026 at 4pm EDT: 7,399.99 or below 7¢ $0 $0 ·
Will the S&P 500 be between 8075 and 8099.9999 on Oct 16, 2026 at 4pm EDT: 8,075 to 8,099.9999 6¢ $0 $0 +0.0pp
Will the S&P 500 be between 8050 and 8074.9999 on Oct 16, 2026 at 4pm EDT: 8,050 to 8,074.9999 11¢ $0 $0 +1.0pp
Will the S&P 500 be between 8025 and 8049.9999 on Oct 16, 2026 at 4pm EDT: 8,025 to 8,049.9999 7¢ $0 $0 ·
Will the S&P 500 be between 8000 and 8024.9999 on Oct 16, 2026 at 4pm EDT: 8,000 to 8,024.9999 14¢ $0 $0 +3.0pp
Will the S&P 500 be between 7975 and 7999.9999 on Oct 16, 2026 at 4pm EDT: 7,975 to 7,999.9999 15¢ $0 $0 +1.0pp
Will the S&P 500 be between 7950 and 7974.9999 on Oct 16, 2026 at 4pm EDT: 7,950 to 7,974.9999 16¢ $0 $0 +6.0pp
Will the S&P 500 be between 7925 and 7949.9999 on Oct 16, 2026 at 4pm EDT: 7,925 to 7,949.9999 12¢ $0 $0 -3.0pp
Will the S&P 500 be between 7900 and 7924.9999 on Oct 16, 2026 at 4pm EDT: 7,900 to 7,924.9999 10¢ $0 $0 -7.0pp
Will the S&P 500 be between 7875 and 7899.9999 on Oct 16, 2026 at 4pm EDT: 7,875 to 7,899.9999 11¢ $0 $0 +1.0pp
Will the S&P 500 be between 7850 and 7874.9999 on Oct 16, 2026 at 4pm EDT: 7,850 to 7,874.9999 8¢ $0 $0 -3.0pp
Will the S&P 500 be between 7825 and 7849.9999 on Oct 16, 2026 at 4pm EDT: 7,825 to 7,849.9999 9¢ $0 $0 +0.0pp
Will the S&P 500 be between 7800 and 7824.9999 on Oct 16, 2026 at 4pm EDT: 7,800 to 7,824.9999 8¢ $0 $0 -0.5pp
Will the S&P 500 be between 7775 and 7799.9999 on Oct 16, 2026 at 4pm EDT: 7,775 to 7,799.9999 11¢ $0 $0 +0.0pp
Will the S&P 500 be between 7750 and 7774.9999 on Oct 16, 2026 at 4pm EDT: 7,750 to 7,774.9999 6¢ $0 $0 ·
Will the S&P 500 be between 7725 and 7749.9999 on Oct 16, 2026 at 4pm EDT: 7,725 to 7,749.9999 9¢ $0 $0 -1.5pp
Will the S&P 500 be between 7700 and 7724.9999 on Oct 16, 2026 at 4pm EDT: 7,700 to 7,724.9999 9¢ $0 $0 ·
Will the S&P 500 be between 7675 and 7699.9999 on Oct 16, 2026 at 4pm EDT: 7,675 to 7,699.9999 8¢ $0 $0 +0.0pp
Will the S&P 500 be between 7650 and 7674.9999 on Oct 16, 2026 at 4pm EDT: 7,650 to 7,674.9999 16¢ $0 $0 -1.0pp
Will the upper bound of the federal funds rate be above 6.00% following the Fed's Apr 28, 2027 meeting? 30¢ $0 $0 -20.0pp
Will the upper bound of the federal funds rate be above 5.75% following the Fed's Apr 28, 2027 meeting? 32¢ $0 $0 -17.5pp
Will the upper bound of the federal funds rate be above 5.25% following the Fed's Apr 28, 2027 meeting? 38¢ $0 $0 -11.5pp
Will the upper bound of the federal funds rate be above 4.75% following the Fed's Apr 28, 2027 meeting? 43¢ $0 $0 -7.0pp
Will the upper bound of the federal funds rate be above 6.00% following the Fed's Mar 17, 2027 meeting? 15¢ $0 $0 -34.5pp
Will the upper bound of the federal funds rate be above 5.25% following the Fed's Mar 17, 2027 meeting? 10¢ $0 $0 -39.5pp
Will the upper bound of the federal funds rate be above 4.50% following the Fed's Mar 17, 2027 meeting? 40¢ $0 $0 -9.5pp
Will the upper bound of the federal funds rate be above 5.75% following the Fed's Jan 27, 2027 meeting? 33¢ $0 $0 -16.5pp
Will the upper bound of the federal funds rate be above 5.50% following the Fed's Jan 27, 2027 meeting? 35¢ $0 $0 -14.5pp
Will the upper bound of the federal funds rate be above 5.00% following the Fed's Jan 27, 2027 meeting? 39¢ $0 $0 -10.5pp
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