Will Perplexity AI be acquired before 2027?
What resolves this contract
This market will resolve to “Yes” if credible reporting confirms that any entity enters into an agreement to acquire the listed company by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Mergers where the listed company is subsumed by another entity will count toward a "Yes" resolution. An announced agreement between the listed company and an acquiring entity will qualify for a “Yes” resolution, regardless of whether the acquisition is ultimately completed. The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the listed company and/or its l
Reading the odds on this market
At 11.0¢ for YES, traders are pricing about a 11.0% chance this happens, roughly 1 in 9.
$10 on YES buys about 91 contracts that pay $90.91 if it happens; $10 on NO at 89.0¢ buys about 11.2 that pay $11.24 if it does not.
The favoured side, NO, returns 12.4% if it wins, with the money locked up for 82 days until January 2, 2027; that works out to about 68.0% a year.
Over the last 9 daily readings the YES price moved up 5.5 points, trading between 5.5¢ and 11.0¢.
$2,406,223 has traded on it on Polymarket, with $2,211 still riding on the outcome, making it number 101 by volume of the 214 markets we track.
Payouts are before platform fees; one contract pays $1 if its side wins.
How to read the price
Prediction market prices are expressed in cents on the dollar. A YES contract trading at 11¢ means the market is pricing in a 11.0% implied probability of the event resolving YES. If resolution comes back YES, the contract pays $1. If NO, it pays $0.
Volume vs. open interest
Total traded volume ($2,406,223) reflects every buy and sell across the life of this contract. Open interest ($2,211) is the dollar value of positions currently held by traders. Deep liquidity and wide open interest are the two signals that the quoted price is reliable.
Where to trade this market
This contract is listed on Polymarket. PicksByOdds does not accept deposits, execute trades, or offer brokerage. We publish the data; you decide what to do with it.
Markets in the same story
| Market | YES | Volume |
|---|---|---|
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | 3¢ | $41,010,319 |
| Will Nebius Group be acquired before 2027? | 2¢ | $7,961,679 |
| AI bubble burst in 2026? | 6¢ | $2,436,379 |
Common questions about this market
How is this market resolved?
This market will resolve to “Yes” if credible reporting confirms that any entity enters into an agreement to acquire the listed company by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Mergers where the listed company is subsumed by another entity will count toward a "Yes" resolution. An announced agreement between the listed company and an acquiring entity will qualify for a “Yes” resolution, regardless of whether the acquisition is ultimately completed. The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the listed company and/or its l
When does this contract expire?
This contract closes on 2027-01-01, 82 days from now. After close, the final outcome is determined per the resolution rules above, and contracts settle at $1 (winning side) or $0 (losing side).
What happens if I buy YES at 11¢?
If the event resolves YES, each YES contract pays $1, a profit of 89¢ per dollar risked. If it resolves NO, the contract pays $0 and the full 11¢ is lost. Current market price implies a 11.0% probability of YES.
Where is this market listed?
This contract is listed on Polymarket. PicksByOdds aggregates and displays public market data; we do not broker trades or custody funds.
How reliable is the quoted price?
This market has $2,406,223 in total traded volume and $2,211 in open interest. Deeper liquidity generally means tighter spreads and more reliable implied probabilities. Prices refresh multiple times per day.